The elimination of human African trypanosomiasis: Monitoring progress towards the 2021-2030 WHO road map targets.

BACKGROUND: Human African trypanosomiasis (HAT) is a neglected tropical disease that usually occurs in rural areas in sub-Saharan Africa. It caused devastating epidemics during the 20th century. Sustained, coordinated efforts by different stakeholders working with national sleeping sickness control programmes (NSSCPs) succeeded in controlling the disease and reducing the number of cases to historically low levels. In 2012, WHO targeted the elimination of the disease as a public health problem by 2020. This goal has been reached and a new ambitious target was stated in the WHO road map for NTDs 2021-2030 and endorsed by the 73rd World Health Assembly: the elimination of gambiense HAT transmission (i.e. reducing the number of reported cases to zero). The interruption of transmission was not considered as an achievable goal for rhodesiense HAT, as it would require vast veterinary interventions rather than actions at the public health level. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Data reported to WHO by NSSCPs were harmonized, verified, georeferenced and included in the atlas of HAT. A total of 802 cases were reported in 2021 and 837 in 2022. This is below the target for elimination as a public health problem at the global level (< 2000 HAT cases/year); 94% of the cases were caused by infection with T. b. gambiense. The areas reporting ≥ 1 HAT case/10 000 inhabitants/year in 2018-2022 cover a surface of 73 134 km2, with only 3013 km2 at very high or high risk. This represents a reduction of 90% from the baseline figure for 2000-2004, the target set for the elimination of HAT as a public health problem. For the surveillance of the disease, 4.5 million people were screened for gambiense HAT with serological tests in 2021-2022, 3.6 million through active screening and 0.9 million by passive screening. In 2021 and 2022 the elimination of HAT as a public health problem was validated in Benin, Uganda, Equatorial Guinea and Ghana for gambiense HAT and in Rwanda for rhodesiense HAT. To reach the next goal of elimination of transmission of gambiense HAT, countries have to report zero cases of human infection with T. b. gambiense for a period of at least 5 consecutive years. The criteria and procedures to verify elimination of transmission have been recently published by WHO. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: HAT elimination as a public health problem has been reached at global level, with seven countries already validated as having reached this goal. This achievement was made possible by the work of NSSCPs, supported by different public and private partners, and coordinated by WHO. The new challenging goal now is to reach zero cases by 2030. To reach this goal is crucial to maintain the engagement and support of donors and stakeholders and to keep the involvement and coordination of all partners. Along with the focus on elimination of transmission of gambiense HAT, it is important not to neglect rhodesiense HAT, which is targeted for elimination as a public health problem in the WHO road map for NTDs 2021-2030.

Target product profile: Trypanosoma brucei gambiense test to verify elimination.

Human African trypanosomiasis is a life-threatening parasitic infection transmitted by the tsetse fly in sub-Saharan Africa. The most common form is caused by Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, with humans as the main reservoir. Diagnosis in the field requires microscopic examination performed by specifically trained personnel. After over two decades of sustained efforts, the incidence of the disease is strongly declining, and some historically endemic countries are no longer detecting cases. The World Health Organization (WHO) has targeted the elimination of transmission of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis by 2030, defined as zero autochthonous cases for at least five consecutive years. Endemic countries reaching this goal must maintain dedicated surveillance to detect re-emergence or re-introduction. With this new agenda, new tools are needed for verification of the absence of transmission. WHO has therefore developed a target product profile calling for development of a method for population-level cross-cutting surveillance of T. b. gambiense transmission. The method needs to be performed in national or sub-national reference laboratories, and to test in parallel numerous samples shipped from remote rural areas. Among other characteristics the product profile specifies: (i) a simple specimen collection procedure; (ii) no cold-chain requirement to transfer specimens to reference laboratories; (iii) high sensitivity and specificity; (iv) high-throughput, substantially automatized; (v) low cost per specimen, when analysed in large batches; and (vi) applicable also in animals.

La trypanosomiase humaine africaine est une infection parasitaire potentiellement mortelle transmise par la mouche tsé-tsé en Afrique subsaharienne. La forme la plus répandue est causée par Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, les humains constituant son principal réservoir. Établir un diagnostic sur le terrain nécessite un examen microscopique réalisé par du personnel formé à cet effet. Après plus de deux décennies d'efforts soutenus, l'incidence de la maladie diminue fortement et quelques pays historiquement endémiques ne découvrent plus aucun cas. L'objectif de l'Organisation mondiale de la Santé (OMS) est d'éliminer la transmission de la trypanosomiase humaine africaine à T. b. gambiense d'ici 2030, ce qui correspond à zéro cas autochtone pendant au moins cinq années consécutives. Les pays endémiques qui atteignent cet objectif doivent maintenir une surveillance spécifique afin de détecter toute réémergence ou réintroduction. Ce nouveau programme doit s'accompagner de nouveaux outils servant à vérifier l'absence de transmission. L'OMS a donc élaboré un profil de produit cible pour le développement d'un procédé de surveillance transversale de la transmission de T. b. gambiense à l'échelle de la population. Ce procédé doit être effectué dans des laboratoires de référence nationaux ou infranationaux et tester simultanément de nombreux échantillons envoyés depuis des régions rurales isolées. Ce profil de produit comporte notamment les caractéristiques suivantes: (i) une procédure simple de collecte d'échantillons; (ii) aucune exigence concernant le respect de la chaîne du froid lors du transfert des échantillons vers les laboratoires de référence; (iii) un niveau élevé de sensibilité et de spécificité; (iv) un haut débit, en grande partie automatisé; (v) de faibles coûts par échantillon lors d'analyses en masse; et enfin, (vi) applicable aux animaux également.

La tripanosomiasis humana africana es una infección parasitaria potencialmente mortal transmitida por la mosca tsetsé en el África Subsahariana. El principal reservorio es el ser humano, y la forma más común está causada por Trypanosoma brucei gambiense. El diagnóstico práctico requiere un examen microscópico a cargo de personal con formación específica. Tras más de dos décadas de esfuerzos sostenidos, la incidencia de la enfermedad está disminuyendo considerablemente, y en algunos países históricamente endémicos ya no se detectan casos. La Organización Mundial de la Salud (OMS) se ha fijado como objetivo la eliminación de la transmisión de la tripanosomiasis africana humana gambiense para 2030, es decir, cero casos autóctonos durante al menos cinco años consecutivos. Los países endémicos que alcancen este objetivo deben mantener una vigilancia permanente para detectar la reaparición o reintroducción de la enfermedad. Con esta agenda nueva, se necesitan herramientas nuevas para verificar la ausencia de transmisión. Por consiguiente, la OMS ha elaborado un perfil de producto objetivo en el que se pide el desarrollo de un método para la vigilancia transversal a nivel de población sobre la transmisión de T. b. gambiense. El método debe realizarse en laboratorios de referencia nacionales o subnacionales y analizar en paralelo numerosas muestras enviadas desde regiones rurales remotas. Entre otras características, el perfil del producto detalla: (i) un procedimiento sencillo de recogida de muestras; (ii) ningún requisito de cadena de frío para transferir las muestras a los laboratorios de referencia; (iii) alta sensibilidad y especificidad; (iv) alto rendimiento, sustancialmente automatizado; (v) bajo coste por muestra, cuando se analizan en grandes lotes; y (vi) aplicable también en animales.

Target product profile: diagnostic test for Trypanosoma brucei rhodesiense.

Rhodesiense human African trypanosomiasis is a lethal parasitic infection caused by Trypanosoma brucei rhodesiense and transmitted by tsetse flies in eastern and southern Africa. It accounts for around 5% of all cases of human African trypanosomiasis. Currently, there is no simple serological test for rhodesiense human African trypanosomiasis and diagnosis relies on microscopic confirmation of trypanosomes in samples of blood or other tissues. The availability of a simple and accurate diagnostic test would aid the control, surveillance and treatment of the disease. A subcommittee of the World Health Organization's Neglected Tropical Diseases Diagnostics Technical Advisory Group has developed a target product profile for a diagnostic tool to identify T. b. rhodesiense infection. The optimum tool would have a sensitivity and specificity above 99% for detecting T. b. rhodesiense, but be simple enough for use by minimally trained health-care workers in unsophisticated peripheral health facilities or mobile teams in villages. The test should yield a qualitative result that can be easily observed and can be used to determine treatment. An antigen test would be preferable, with blood collected by finger-prick. Ideally, there should be no need for a cold chain, instrumentation or precision liquid handling. The test should be usable between 10 °C and 40 °C and between 10% and 88% relative humidity. Basic training should take under 2 hours and the test should involve fewer than five steps. The unit cost should be less than 1 United States dollar.

La trypanosomiase humaine africaine à T. b. rhodesiense est une infection parasitaire mortelle causée par Trypanosoma brucei rhodesiense et transmise par les mouches tsé-tsé en Afrique orientale et australe. Elle représente environ 5% de l'ensemble des cas de trypanosomiase humaine africaine. À l'heure actuelle, il n'existe aucun test sérologique simple pour l'infection à T. b. rhodesiense et le diagnostic repose sur la confirmation microscopique de la présence de trypanosomes dans des échantillons de sang ou d'autres tissus. Fournir un test de diagnostic simple et précis favoriserait la lutte, la surveillance et la prise en charge de la maladie. Un sous-comité du Groupe consultatif technique sur les produits de diagnostic des maladies tropicales négligées de l'Organisation mondiale de la Santé a donc élaboré un profil de produit cible pour un outil visant à détecter une infection par T. b. rhodesiense. L'outil le plus adapté présenterait un niveau de sensibilité et de spécificité supérieur à 99% pour la détection de T. b. rhodesiense, tout en étant à la portée de professionnels de la santé ayant reçu une formation sommaire, tant dans des structures de santé périphériques basiques qu'au sein d'équipes mobiles dans les villages. Cet outil doit fournir un résultat fiable, facile à interpréter, qui peut servir à établir un traitement. Un test antigénique serait préférable, avec prélèvement de l'échantillon sanguin par le biais d'une piqûre au bout du doigt. Idéalement, l'outil ne doit pas être thermosensible, ni nécessiter un équipement spécifique ou une manipulation de liquides délicate. Le test doit pouvoir être utilisé à une température comprise entre 10 °C et 40 °C, ainsi que dans une humidité relative de 10% à 88%. La formation requise pour son utilisation doit durer moins de deux heures et le test doit être effectué en moins de cinq étapes, Enfin, son coût unitaire doit être inférieur à un dollar américain.

La tripanosomiasis humana africana rhodesiense es una infección letal parasitaria causada por el Trypanosoma brucei rhodesiense, y es transmitida por la mosca tse-tsé en África oriental y meridional. Representa aproximadamente el 5% de todos los casos de tripanosomiasis humana africana. Actualmente, no existe ninguna prueba serológica simple para la tripanosomiasis humana africana rhodesiense, y el diagnóstico se basa en la confirmación microscópica de tripanosomas existentes en muestras de sangre u otros tejidos. Una prueba diagnóstica sencilla y precisa ayudaría a controlar, vigilar y tratar la enfermedad. Un subcomité del Grupo Asesor Técnico de Diagnóstico de Enfermedades Tropicales Desatendidas de la Organización Mundial de la Salud ha creado un perfil de producto objetivo para una herramienta de diagnóstico que permita identificar la infección T. b. rhodesiense. La herramienta óptima tendría una sensibilidad y una especificidad superiores al 99% para detectar la T. b. rhodesiense y, al ser lo suficientemente sencilla, podrían utilizarla trabajadores sanitarios mínimamente formados, en centros sanitarios periféricos no sofisticados, o bien equipos móviles. La prueba debe arrojar un resultado cualitativo de fácil lectura y que pueda utilizarse para determinar el tratamiento. Sería preferible una prueba de antígenos, con sangre extraída mediante punción digital. Idealmente, no debería ser necesaria la cadena de frío, la instrumentación ni la manipulación de líquidos de precisión. La prueba debe poder utilizarse entre 10 °C y 40 °C, con una humedad relativa de entre el 10% y el 88%. La instrucción básica debe llevar menos de 2 horas y la prueba debe incluir menos de cinco pasos. El coste de la unidad debe ser inferior a 1 dólar estadounidense.

Target product profile: Trypanosoma brucei gambiense test for low-prevalence settings.

Having caused devastating epidemics during the 20th century, the incidence of life-threatening human African trypanosomiasis has fallen to historically low levels as a result of sustained and coordinated efforts over the past 20 years. Humans are the main reservoir of one of the two pathogenic trypanosome subspecies, Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, found in western and central Africa. The expected advent of a safe and easy-to-use treatment to be given to seropositive but microscopically unconfirmed individuals would lead to further depletion; in the meantime, the presence of T. b. gambiense infection in the community must be monitored to allow the control strategy to be adapted and the elimination status to be assessed. The World Health Organization has therefore developed a target product profile that describes the optimal and minimal characteristics of an individual laboratory-based test to assess T. b. gambiense infection in low-prevalence settings. Development of the target product profile involved the formation of a Neglected Tropical Diseases Diagnostics Technical Advisory Group and a subgroup on human African trypanosomiasis diagnostic innovation needs, and an analysis of the available products and development pipeline. According to the product profile, the test should ideally: (i) require a minimally invasive or non-invasive specimen, collectable at peripheral facilities by minimally trained health workers; (ii) demonstrate good sensitivity and high specificity; (iii) have a stability of samples allowing transfer to reference laboratories preferably without cold chain; (iv) be stable over a wide range of environmental conditions for more than 2 years; and (v) after marketing, be available at low cost for at least 7 years.

Après avoir causé des épidémies dévastatrices au cours du 20e siècle, la trypanosomiase humaine africaine, potentiellement mortelle, a vu son incidence chuter à un niveau historiquement bas grâce aux efforts conjoints et soutenus déployés ces deux dernières décennies. Les humains constituent le principal réservoir de l'une des deux sous-espèces pathogéniques de trypanosome, Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, que l'on retrouve en Afrique occidentale et centrale. L'arrivée d'un traitement sûr et simple d'utilisation, qui serait administré aux individus séropositifs mais sans confirmation microscopique, devrait entraîner une nouvelle diminution; dans l'intervalle, la présence d'une infection à T. b. gambiense au sein de la communauté doit être surveillée afin de pouvoir adapter la stratégie de lutte et évaluer le statut d'élimination. Par conséquent, l'Organisation mondiale de la Santé a élaboré un profil de produit cible qui détaille les caractéristiques minimales et optimales d'un test individuel en laboratoire visant à confirmer l'infection à T. b. gambiense dans les régions à faible prévalence. La mise au point de ce profil a entraîné la formation d'un Groupe consultatif technique sur le diagnostic des maladies tropicales négligées et d'un sous-groupe consacré aux besoins en matière d'innovation diagnostique pour la trypanosomiase humaine africaine, qui a conduit une analyse des produits existants et des projets de développement. Selon le profil de produit, le test devrait idéalement: (i) nécessiter un prélèvement d'échantillon peu ou non invasif, pouvant être effectué dans des structures périphériques par des professionnels de la santé ayant reçu une formation sommaire; (ii) faire preuve d'un bon niveau de sensibilité et d'un niveau élevé de spécificité; (iii) avoir une stabilité des échantillons permettant le transfert vers des laboratoires de référence, de préférence sans chaîne de froid; (iv) rester stable dans un large éventail de conditions environnementales pendant plus de deux ans; et enfin, (v) après commercialisation, être disponible à bas coût pendant au moins sept ans.

Tras haber causado epidemias devastadoras durante el siglo XX, la incidencia de la tripanosomiasis humana africana potencialmente mortal ha descendido a niveles históricamente bajos gracias a los esfuerzos sostenidos y coordinados de los últimos 20 años. El ser humano es el principal reservorio de una de las dos subespecies patógenas del tripanosoma, Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, presente en África Occidental y Central. La prevista disponibilidad de un tratamiento seguro y fácil de administrar a personas seropositivas, pero no confirmadas al microscopio, permitiría una mayor eliminación; mientras tanto, se debe vigilar la presencia de la infección por T. b. gambiense en la comunidad para poder adaptar la estrategia de control y evaluar el estado de eliminación. Por consiguiente, la Organización Mundial de la Salud ha elaborado un perfil de producto objetivo que describe las características óptimas y mínimas de una prueba de laboratorio individual para evaluar la infección por T. b. gambiense en regiones de baja prevalencia. El desarrollo del perfil de producto objetivo implicó la formación de un Grupo de Asesoramiento Técnico sobre Diagnóstico de Enfermedades Tropicales Desatendidas y un subgrupo sobre las necesidades de innovación en el diagnóstico de la tripanosomiasis humana africana, así como un análisis de los productos disponibles y en desarrollo. Según el perfil objetivo, lo ideal sería que la prueba: (i) requiriera una muestra mínimamente invasiva o no invasiva, que pudiera ser recogida en centros periféricos por personal sanitario con una capacitación mínima; (ii) demostrara una buena sensibilidad y alta especificidad; (iii) tuviera una estabilidad de las muestras que permita su transferencia a laboratorios de referencia, preferiblemente sin cadena de frío; (iv) fuera estable en un amplio rango de condiciones ambientales durante más de 2 años; y (v) tras su comercialización, estuviera disponible a bajo coste durante al menos 7 años.

Target product profile: diagnostic test for Trypanosoma brucei gambiense.

Human African trypanosomiasis is a life-threatening parasitic infection endemic to sub-Saharan Africa. Around 95% of cases are due to Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, found in western and central Africa. Clinical signs and symptoms are nonspecific, current diagnostic tests are not sufficiently accurate, and parasitological confirmation of infection requires microscopic examination of body fluids and specialized techniques for concentrating parasites. Moreover, current treatment is not recommended on the basis of suspicion alone because it is not sufficiently safe. The availability of a simple and accurate diagnostic test to identify individuals harbouring parasites would widen treatment and help decrease disease prevalence. A subcommittee of the World Health Organization's Neglected Tropical Diseases Diagnostics Technical Advisory Group has developed a target product profile for a diagnostic tool to identify T. b. gambiense infection. This tool should have a high sensitivity for detecting T. b. gambiense but be simple enough to use in rural Africa. Ideally, the tool could be applied by any minimally trained individual in an unsophisticated peripheral health facility, or a mobile team in a village with little infrastructure. The test should be able to function under hot and humid conditions. Basic training should take under 2 hours and the test should involve fewer than five steps. There should be no need for instrumentation or precision liquid handling. The test should yield a qualitative result in under 20 minutes that can be easily observed, and one test should be sufficient for determining treatment. A unit cost below 1 United States dollar (US$) would enable mass screening.

La trypanosomiase humaine africaine est une infection parasitaire potentiellement mortelle endémique en Afrique subsaharienne. Dans près de 95% des cas, elle est causée par Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, que l'on trouve en Afrique occidentale et centrale. Les symptômes et signes cliniques sont aspécifiques, les tests de diagnostic existants ne sont pas assez précis et la confirmation parasitologique de l'infection nécessite un examen microscopique des liquides corporels ainsi que des techniques spécialisées pour concentrer les parasites. En outre, il n'est pas recommandé d'entamer le traitement actuel sur la base d'une simple suspicion car celui-ci n'est pas suffisamment sûr. Fournir un test de diagnostic simple et précis permettant d'identifier les individus porteurs de parasites contribuerait à élargir le traitement et à une diminution de la prévalence de la maladie. Un sous-comité du Groupe consultatif technique sur les produits de diagnostic des maladies tropicales négligées de l'Organisation mondiale de la Santé a élaboré un profil de produit cible pour un outil visant à détecter une infection par T. b. gambiense. Cet outil doit être suffisamment sensible pour déceler la présence de T. b. gambiense mais suffisamment simple pour être utilisé dans les régions rurales du continent. Idéalement, il doit pouvoir être employé par toute personne ayant reçu une formation sommaire, tant dans des structures de santé périphériques basiques qu'au sein d'une équipe mobile dans un village doté d'infrastructures restreintes. Par ailleurs, il doit fonctionner dans une atmosphère chaude et humide. La formation requise pour son utilisation doit durer moins de deux heures et le test doit être effectué en moins de cinq étapes, sans exiger d'équipement spécifique ni de manipulation délicate. Cet outil doit fournir un résultat fiable en moins de 20 minutes, facile à interpréter, et un seul test doit suffire à établir un traitement. Enfin, afin d'organiser un dépistage de masse, son coût unitaire ne doit pas dépasser un dollar américain.

La tripanosomiasis humana africana es una infección parasitaria potencialmente mortal endémica del África Subsahariana. Alrededor del 95% de los casos se deben al Trypanosoma brucei gambiense, presente en África Occidental y Central. Los signos y síntomas clínicos no son específicos, las pruebas diagnósticas actuales no son suficientemente precisas y la confirmación parasitológica de la infección requiere el examen microscópico de los fluidos corporales y técnicas especializadas de concentración de parásitos. Además, el tratamiento actual no se recomienda a partir de la sola sospecha porque no es suficientemente seguro. La disponibilidad de una prueba diagnóstica sencilla y precisa para identificar a las personas con parásitos ampliaría el tratamiento y ayudaría a disminuir la prevalencia de la enfermedad. Un subcomité del Grupo de Asesoramiento Técnico sobre Diagnóstico de Enfermedades Tropicales Desatendidas de la Organización Mundial de la Salud ha desarrollado un perfil de producto objetivo para una herramienta de diagnóstico destinada a identificar la infección por T. b. gambiense. Esta herramienta debe tener una alta sensibilidad para detectar T. b. gambiense, pero ser lo suficientemente sencilla para su uso en las regiones rurales de África. Lo ideal sería que la herramienta pudiera ser aplicada por cualquier persona mínimamente capacitada en un centro sanitario periférico poco sofisticado o por un equipo móvil en un pueblo con poca infraestructura. La prueba debería funcionar en condiciones de calor y humedad. La formación básica debe durar menos de 2 horas y la prueba debe constar de menos de cinco pasos. No debe necesitarse instrumentación ni manipulación precisa de líquidos. La prueba debe dar un resultado cualitativo en menos de 20 minutos que pueda observarse fácilmente y debe bastar una prueba para determinar el tratamiento. Su coste unitario, inferior a un dólar estadounidense, permitiría un cribado masivo.

Correction: Onchocerciasis: Target product profiles of in vitro diagnostics to support onchocerciasis elimination mapping and mass drug administration stopping decisions.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010682.].

Human African trypanosomiasis cases diagnosed in non-endemic countries (2011-2020).

BACKGROUND: Sleeping sickness, or human African trypanosomiasis (HAT), is transmitted by tsetse flies in endemic foci in sub-Saharan Africa. Because of international travel and population movements, cases are also occasionally diagnosed in non-endemic countries. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Antitrypanosomal medicines to treat the disease are available gratis through the World Health Organization (WHO) thanks to a public-private partnership, and exclusive distribution of the majority of them enables WHO to gather information on all exported cases. Data collected by WHO are complemented by case reports and scientific publications. During 2011-2020, 49 cases of HAT were diagnosed in 16 non-endemic countries across five continents: 35 cases were caused by Trypanosoma brucei rhodesiense, mainly in tourists visiting wildlife areas in eastern and southern Africa, and 14 cases were due to T. b. gambiense, mainly in African migrants originating from or visiting endemic areas in western and central Africa. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: HAT diagnosis in non-endemic countries is rare and can be challenging, but alertness and surveillance must be maintained to contribute to WHO's elimination goals. Early detection is particularly important as it considerably improves the prognosis.

Onchocerciasis: Target product profiles of in vitro diagnostics to support onchocerciasis elimination mapping and mass drug administration stopping decisions.

In June 2021, the World Health Organization (WHO), recognizing the need for new diagnostics to support the control and elimination of onchocerciasis, published the target product profiles (TPPs) of new tests that would support the two most immediate needs: (a) mapping onchocerciasis in areas of low prevalence and (b) deciding when to stop mass drug administration programs. In both instances, the test should ideally detect an antigen specific for live, adult O. volvulus female worms. The preferred format is a field-deployable rapid test. For mapping, the test needs to be ≥ 60% sensitive and ≥ 99.8% specific, while to support stopping decisions, the test must be ≥ 89% sensitive and ≥ 99.8% specific. The requirement for extremely high specificity is dictated by the need to detect with sufficient statistical confidence the low seroprevalence threshold set by WHO. Surveys designed to detect a 1-2% prevalence of a given biomarker, as is the case here, cannot tolerate more than 0.2% of false-positives. Otherwise, the background noise would drown out the signal. It is recognized that reaching and demonstrating such a stringent specificity criterion will be challenging, but test developers can expect to be assisted by national governments and implementing partners for adequately powered field validation.

A framework for scabies control.

Scabies is a neglected tropical disease (NTD) that causes a significant health burden, particularly in disadvantaged communities and where there is overcrowding. There is emerging evidence that ivermectin-based mass drug administration (MDA) can reduce the prevalence of scabies in some settings, but evidence remains limited, and there are no formal guidelines to inform control efforts. An informal World Health Organization (WHO) consultation was organized to find agreement on strategies for global control. The consultation resulted in a framework for scabies control and recommendations for mapping of disease burden, delivery of interventions, and establishing monitoring and evaluation. Key operational research priorities were identified. This framework will allow countries to set control targets for scabies as part of national NTD strategic plans and develop control strategies using MDA for high-prevalence regions and outbreak situations. As further evidence and experience are collected and strategies are refined over time, formal guidelines can be developed. The control of scabies and the reduction of the health burden of scabies and associated conditions will be vital to achieving the targets set in WHO Roadmap for NTDs for 2021 to 2030 and the Sustainable Development Goals.

Investigation of Dracunculiasis Transmission among Humans, Chad, 2013-2017.

Dracunculiasis, slated for global eradication, typically is acquired by drinking stagnant water containing microscopic crustaceans (copepods) infected with Dracunculus medinensis larvae, causing clusters of case persons with worms emerging from the skin. Following a 10-year absence of reported cases, 9-26 sporadic human cases with few epidemiologic links have been reported annually in Chad since 2010; dog infections have also been reported since 2012. We conducted an investigation of human cases in Chad to identify risk factors. We conducted a case-control study using a standardized questionnaire to assess water and aquatic animal consumption, and links to dog infections. Case persons had laboratory-confirmed D. medinensis during 2013-2017. Each case person was matched to one to three controls without history of disease by age, gender, and residency in the village where the case person was likely infected. We estimated odds ratios (ORs) using simple conditional logistic regression. We enrolled 25 case persons with 63 matched controls. Dracunculiasis was associated with consumption of untreated water from hand-dug wells (OR: 13.4; 95% CI: 1.7-108.6), but neither with consumption of aquatic animals nor presence of infected dogs in villages. Unsafe water consumption remains associated with dracunculiasis. Education of populations about consuming safe water and using copepod filters to strain unsafe water should continue and expand, as should efforts to develop and maintain safe drinking water sources. Nevertheless, the peculiar epidemiology in Chad remains incompletely explained. Future studies of dogs might identify other risk factors.

Ecology of domestic dogs Canis familiaris as an emerging reservoir of Guinea worm Dracunculus medinensis infection.

Global eradication of human Guinea worm disease (dracunculiasis) has been set back by the emergence of infections in animals, particularly domestic dogs Canis familiaris. The ecology and epidemiology of this reservoir is unknown. We tracked dogs using GPS, inferred diets using stable isotope analysis and analysed correlates of infection in Chad, where numbers of Guinea worm infections are greatest. Dogs had small ranges that varied markedly among villages. Diets consisted largely of human staples and human faeces. A minority of ponds, mostly <200 m from dog-owning households, accounted for most dog exposure to potentially unsafe water. The risk of a dog having had Guinea worm was reduced in dogs living in households providing water for animals but increased with increasing fish consumption by dogs. Provision of safe water might reduce dog exposure to unsafe water, while prioritisation of proactive temephos (Abate) application to the small number of ponds to which dogs have most access is recommended. Fish might have an additional role as transport hosts for Guinea worm, by concentrating copepods infected with worm larvae.

Slaying little dragons: the impact of the Guinea Worm Eradication Program on dracunculiasis disability averted from 1990 to 2016.

Background: The objective of this study was to document the worldwide decline of dracunculiasis (Guinea worm disease, GWD) burden, expressed as disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), from 1990 to 2016, as estimated in the Global Burden of Disease study 2016 (GBD 2016). While the annual number of cases of GWD have been consistently reported by WHO since the 1990s, the burden of disability due to GWD has not previously been quantified in GBD. Methods: The incidence of GWD was modeled for each endemic country using annual national case reports. A literature search was conducted to characterize the presentation of GWD, translate the clinical symptoms into health sequelae, and then assign an average duration to the infection. Prevalence measures by sequelae were multiplied by disability weights to estimate DALYs. Results: The total DALYs attributed to GWD across all endemic countries (n=21) in 1990 was 50,725 (95% UI: 35,265-69,197) and decreased to 0.9 (95% UI: 0.5-1.4) in 2016. A cumulative total of 12,900 DALYs were attributable to GWD from 1990 to 2016. Conclusions: Using 1990 estimates of burden propagated forward, this analysis suggests that between 990,000 to 1.9 million DALYs have been averted as a result of the eradication program over the past 27 years.

The cost-effectiveness of an eradication programme in the end game: Evidence from guinea worm disease.

BACKGROUND: Of the three diseases targeted for eradication by WHO, two are so-called Neglected Tropical Diseases (NTDs)-guinea worm disease (GWD) and yaws. The Guinea Worm Eradication Programme (GWEP) is in its final stages, with only 25 reported in 2016. However, global eradication still requires certification by WHO of the absence of transmission in all countries. We analyze the cost-effectiveness of the GWEP in the end game, when the number of cases is lower and the cost per case is higher than at any other time. Ours is the first economic evaluation of the GWEP since a World Bank study in 1997. METHODS: Using data from the GWEP, we estimate the cost of the implementation, pre-certification and certification stages. We model cost-effectiveness in the period 1986-2030. We compare the GWEP to two alternative scenarios: doing nothing (no intervention since 1986) and control (only surveillance and outbreak response during 2016-2030). We report the cost per case averted, cost per disability adjusted life year (DALY) averted and cost per at-risk life year averted. We assess cost-effectiveness against a threshold of about one half GDP per capita (less than US$ 500 in low income countries). All costs are expressed in US$ of 2015. RESULTS: The GWEP cost an estimated US$ 11 (95% uncertainty interval, 4.70-12.49) per case averted in the period 1986-2030. The pre-certification and certification phases can cost as much as US$ 0.0041 and US$ 0.0015 per capita per year. The cost per DALY averted by the GWEP relative to doing nothing is estimated at US$ 222 (118-372) in 1986-2030. The GWEP is probably more cost-effective than control by the year 2030. The GWEP is certainly more cost-effective than control if willingness to pay for one year of life lived without the risk of GWD exceeds US$ 0.10. DISCUSSION: Even if economic costs are two times as high as the financial costs estimated for the period to 2020, the GWEP will still be cost-effective relative to doing nothing. Whether the GWEP turns out to be the most cost-effective alternative in the period beyond 2015 depends on the time horizon. When framed in terms of the number of years of life lived without the risk of GWD, a case can be made more easily for finishing the end game, including certification of the absence of transmission.